Why AVAX might rally by another 15%

Bart Millican October 29, 2023
Why AVAX might rally by another 15%

Disclaimer: The information presented does not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice and is solely the writer’s opinion.

Avalanche [AVAX] noted large gains on the token’s price chart in the past two weeks. Avalanche was able to defend the former range lows and has now flipped the $11 level to support.

News of SnowTrace shutting down Etherscan-powered explorer service meant users would have to take some steps to transition to alternate tools. Stars Arena, a project on Avalanche, was also in the news after announcing that their CEO has stepped down. This came after a hack on 7 October that saw a loss of nearly $3 million.

AVAX traded within a range (orange) that extended from $8.72-$10.92 since late August. In the past two weeks, the lows of this range at $8.7 were tested once more and were defended. This, combined with Bitcoin’s [BTC] rally from $26.7k, provided the impetus for prices to sail past the $11 resistance.

At the time of writing the market structure on the one-day chart was bullish. The RSI reflected that upward momentum was firm with a reading of 66. The OBV has also trended strongly upward in the past two weeks to signal a large buying volume.

The breakout occurred on high trading volume. Additionally, the $11 and $11.6 were retested as support in the lower timeframes. This indicated that AVAX was likely to advance to the next major resistance at $13.9 and possibly higher.

The liquidation levels heatmap above noted that a large amount of liquidity was present just below the $14 mark. This lined up well with the HTF resistance at $13.9. Moreover, the next major liquidity pools lie at $14.5 and $16.15.

Liquidity attracts prices, therefore AVAX would be likely to climb to these targets if the buying pressure was sustained. Traders could use the $13.9, $14.5, and $16.15 levels to book profits at and re-enter long positions.

Bart Millican